World Cup 2026 Predictions: Live Results & Track Record

World Cup 2026 Predictions: Live Results & Track Record

Hundreds of sites will tell you who is going to win. Almost none show you whether they were right. This page does. It is a live, public scorecard of every World Cup 2026 prediction we publish — the exact AI and expert pick that was on the match page before kick-off, logged against the final result. No quiet edits, no cherry-picking, no hindsight.

Our record so far

Through the opening matches our published picks are running at 7 from 8 (87.5%) — Expert 4/4 (100%) and AI 3/4 (75%). The table below updates after every match.

This table updates after every World Cup 2026 match — bookmark it to follow our running record.

How our predictions actually work

Two predictions every match: AI vs human

For every fixture we publish two independent calls — one from our prediction model, one from our analysts — because they catch different things. The model is disciplined and unemotional; the human sees what the data cannot yet (a key injury, a rotated line-up, a must-win situation). When they agree, it is a strong signal. When they diverge, you get both and you decide.

The data behind every pick

Before a single prediction is written, the model ingests and weighs a large volume of data for both teams: recent form weighted toward the latest matches, full head-to-head history, goals scored and conceded with home and away splits, and scoring patterns — how often a side's games go over 2.5 goals, how often both teams score, clean-sheet rates — plus tournament context and, where relevant, data from previous major tournaments.

From data to probabilities

The model then runs match simulations, playing out each fixture across thousands of scenarios to estimate the probability of every outcome that matters — result, total goals, both teams to score. It surfaces the bet with the clearest edge, not the flashiest.

The human layer

Our analysts review every model output against what the data is slow to capture — squad news, injuries, rotation, tactical match-ups, motivation and stakes — and either confirm the pick or override it. That becomes the expert call shown next to the AI one.

Why we lean on goals markets

Most of our picks are goals-based — over/under 2.5 and both teams to score — rather than "who wins." On purpose. Across a large sample of evaluated predictions, match-result (1X2) bets are close to a coin flip, while goals markets are far more predictable from form and scoring data. We bet where the data has an edge.

We grade ourselves in public

Every pick here is scored automatically against the real result — win or loss, no interpretation. That is why the 87.5% above is trustworthy: it is not a marketing number, it is the actual record, and it will move up and down as the tournament goes. We would rather show you an honest number than a perfect one.

Follow every prediction

• World Cup 2026 predictions hub — every fixture with AI and expert picks.
• Live group tables — all 12 groups and the race for the best third-placed teams.
• Team stats — goals, BTTS and over/under 2.5 leaderboards.
• Our full track record across every sport we cover.

Check back after each matchday to see how our World Cup 2026 predictions are holding up.